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ICT Daily Bias: How to Predict Market Direction

The biggest secret to a high win rate isn't your entry strategy—it's knowing the Daily Bias. If you know that the institutions intend to drive price higher today to sweep a specific liquidity pool, then every 1-minute dip becomes a buying opportunity. In this guide, we cover how to establish your bias before the bell rings.

The Draw on Liquidity (DOL)

To find your bias, you must look at the Daily chart and ask one question: "Where is the nearest untested pool of massive liquidity?"

Price is magnetically drawn to areas where retail traders have placed their stops. Look for untouched previous daily highs or lows, previous weekly highs or lows, or massive higher-timeframe Fair Value Gaps. Whichever prominent level price is currently closest to is usually your Draw on Liquidity.

Order Flow and Market Structure

Once you identify the DOL, verify it against the current Daily order flow. Are daily candles respecting down-close candles (Bullish Order Blocks) and aggressively breaking through up-close candles? If so, the institutional order flow is bullish. Your bias for the day is strictly to look for long setups.

What if the Bias is Unclear?

If price is stuck inside a consolidation range, the bias is neutral. This is when you sit on your hands and wait for the market to expand out of the range. There is no shame in having "No Bias" for the day.

Related Reading:

Daily bias relies on analyzing multiple timeframes correctly. Brush up on your top-down analysis with our guide: The Best Timeframes for Day Trading Futures.

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